Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.036205 0.039084 0.042105 0.045515 0.049263 0.053262 0.057861
2025-04-06 0.030963 0.034934 0.039328 0.044567 0.050670 0.057582 0.066045
2025-04-13 0.028206 0.032907 0.038323 0.045064 0.053283 0.063051 0.075640
2025-04-20 0.025920 0.031055 0.037166 0.045039 0.055008 0.067336 0.083933
2025-04-27 0.024395 0.029905 0.036648 0.045603 0.057325 0.072349 0.093391
2025-05-04 0.022792 0.028487 0.035624 0.045351 0.058457 0.075789 0.100932
2025-05-11 0.021466 0.027297 0.034764 0.045182 0.059595 0.079213 0.108619
2025-05-18 0.020274 0.026186 0.033903 0.044904 0.060494 0.082290 0.115973
2025-05-25 0.019287 0.025273 0.033228 0.044797 0.061571 0.085625 0.123906
2025-06-01 0.018215 0.024173 0.032219 0.044130 0.061758 0.087623 0.129905
2025-06-08 0.017182 0.023068 0.031131 0.043263 0.061558 0.088980 0.134945
2025-06-15 0.016382 0.022241 0.030383 0.042831 0.061954 0.091230 0.141548
2025-06-22 0.015637 0.021464 0.029672 0.042421 0.062370 0.093560 0.148537
2025-06-29 0.014821 0.020544 0.028708 0.041567 0.062028 0.094637 0.153464
2025-07-06 0.014434 0.020229 0.028610 0.042028 0.063784 0.099230 0.164911
2025-07-13 0.013946 0.019739 0.028224 0.042006 0.064741 0.102537 0.174324
2025-07-20 0.013631 0.019491 0.028186 0.042524 0.066609 0.107506 0.187250
2025-07-27 0.013152 0.018972 0.027704 0.042293 0.067185 0.110245 0.196174
2025-08-03 0.012722 0.018509 0.027286 0.042138 0.067871 0.113210 0.205792
2025-08-10 0.012297 0.018034 0.026825 0.041882 0.068356 0.115825 0.214936
2025-08-17 0.011932 0.017638 0.026471 0.041783 0.069105 0.118968 0.225447
2025-08-24 0.011477 0.017082 0.025836 0.041170 0.068884 0.120249 0.232140
2025-08-31 0.011009 0.016489 0.025115 0.040372 0.068272 0.120730 0.237133